Thursday, September 16, 2010

 

Indian stock market update as of 16 September 2010

The Indian stock market is getting very volatile nowadays. It reminds me of the days near January 2008 when the market was very volatile, with the Sensex going up by large numbers or falling, but with most stocks remaining where they were or sometimes even falling. There is still money to be made in specific scripts, but it is a high risk / high gain approach. If there is a fall due to liquidity inflow into the system being reduced, then even scripts that seem safe can fall pretty fast (we have seen the effect of what a reduction in liquidity and bad sentiment can do to all stocks in the multiple falls that happened in 2008). Right now, DII's (domestic financial institutions are selling) while FII's are pumping in money; but this inflow is always volatile. Every expert says a couple of things - India has a good economic growth ongoing, and Indian stocks are expensive. The possibility of a small sharp correction is pretty high right now, so be careful about the stocks that you are going in for.
There are positive news for the medium and long term - the figures for industrial growth were higher than expected, which means that Indian industry will pick up; at the same time, there will be a need for more credit and working capital, as a result, most predictions are that the Reserve Bank will increase interest rates to head off the expected increase in inflation.
Some stocks that I am currently tracking:
Reliance Industries - the stock remains a safe bet, and has shrugged off some recent weakness where there were predictions that the stock could fall to 600 levels
Uflex - the stock has run up sharply in the last couple of months, but the company remains a fundamentally good company in a good sector
Kirloskar Pneumatics - Run up a bit in the last 1 month
Rajesh Exports - Looking good technically
Rama Newsprint - A turnaround story
Shanti Gears
Cosmo Films

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Wednesday, October 07, 2009

 

Finding the right company to invest in

This post is about a tool available on the BSE website (link to actual tool) that allows you to find companies having a specific criteria. There are people who only want to invest in small size companies (betting on a higher quantum of risk), and there are others who want the safety of large caps. People also have criteria based on the EPS for the company (it tells you whether the company has a good return), and also the PE ratio (since a correlation between PE of a company and that of its industry indicates whether the company share price could increase).
You can select the following parameters:
LTP
Market Cap
EPS
PE
From the site:

This section will enable you to fine tune your search of stocks. Here you can search stocks based on the 4 fundamental parameters of the company's performance.

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